Lyme disease, science, and society: Camp Other
Showing posts with label baloney. Show all posts
Showing posts with label baloney. Show all posts

Monday, May 7, 2012

10 Commentary On Chronic Lyme Disease and Skepticism

When I began writing this blog, I originally wrote it to give a point-by-point analysis of how one article in the Chicago Tribune, "Chronic Lyme: A dubious diagnosis", did not address the issue of whether or not Lyme disease could be a chronic and persistent infection after initial or delayed antibiotic treatment. I wrote the analysis using Carl Sagan's Baloney Detection Kit, because I thought it was a good framework for deconstruction of the article.

I thought this analysis would attract the attention of a number of skeptics, and from there, we'd engage in a lively discussion about how the article skirted the issue of whether or not chronic Lyme disease is possible and dive into the evidence for and against chronic Lyme disease being a persistent - if only subclinical - infection.

It never happened. 

Over a year later, and it still didn't happen.

And, to this day, only one person has ever left me a comment which directly challenged what I was writing about and judged the content of this blog - at least as far as the idea of persistent infection is involved.

That comment was this:
You error in giving any credit to the "chronic lyme disease" movement.

I recommend this paper in the current issue of The Lancet (Sep 2011;11:713-719) :

Antiscience and ethical concerns associated with advocacy of Lyme disease

Abstract: Advocacy for Lyme disease has become an increasingly important part of an antiscience movement that denies both the viral cause of AIDS and the benefits of vaccines and that supports unproven (sometimes dangerous) alternative medical treatments. Some activists portray Lyme disease, a geographically limited tick-borne infection, as a disease that is insidious, ubiquitous, difficult to diagnose, and almost incurable; they also propose that the disease causes mainly non-specific symptoms that can be treated only with long-term antibiotics and other unorthodox and unvalidated treatments. Similar to other antiscience groups, these advocates have created a pseudoscientific and alternative selection of practitioners, research, and publications and have coordinated public protests, accused opponents of both corruption and conspiracy, and spurred legislative efforts to subvert evidence-based medicine and peer-reviewed science. The relations and actions of some activists, medical practitioners, and commercial bodies involved in Lyme disease advocacy pose a threat to public health.

And pertinent to this blog, the authors conclude, in part:

"This situation is not likely to end anytime soon. As with other antiscience groups, many Lyme disease activists are well funded and often connected to influential political and media sources. Treatment of Lyme disease with long-term antibiotics is profitable for LLMDs and can be falsely reassuring to patients, who believe that they have a debilitating chronic infection and thus do not seek diagnosis and treatment for other disorders. There is no deficiency of either new patients or activists. The medical anthropologist Sharon Kaufman wrote that “Information technology has transformed the way trust and knowledge are produced”.67 Most people now find medical information on the internet, and the websites of LLMDs and activists are often viewed as legitimate and reliable sources of information, which they may not be."
         - LindaRosaRN


I responded to her, asked her a few questions, and she never responded in return. A drive by. 

She obviously wanted to be heard but did not want to engage. Her comment was on a post about the Huffington Post and Under Our Skin; it wasn't even related to the antiscience letter to which she referred.

And since then, it's been crickets all around when it comes to skeptics  - even though I get visits from Spirochetes Unwound (of Research Blogging), and other web sites which are science and skeptic-oriented on a number of levels.

It's almost as if someone gets to the front door of this site and decides it's not for them just because it mentions the words, "chronic Lyme disease".

I'm guessing the skeptical person who stumbles upon this page with that first glance thinks, "Oh, well, it's another one of those chronic Lyme activists. Why are they ignoring all the evidence that after antibiotic treatment, those with persisting symptoms develop an autoimmune disorder? I'm getting out of here. I'm not wasting my time on this..."

If they're thinking that, then perhaps an overhaul is in order for this blog because I'm not trying to ignore the evidence about autoimmunity or immune dysregulation related to persisting symptoms.

I'm trying to look at a number of different hypotheses - including chronic infection - because these topics are of interest to other patients and I think they all deserve discussion. And there are other hypotheses outside of chronic infection and autoimmunity which are being researched such as chronic Lyme disease as a metabolic disorder, and I give them exposure.

Because I enjoy science, I look at research and science news related to tickborne infections and their reservoir hosts in general, without any particular goal in mind other than to say, "Hey, look at this - isn't this weird/interesting/informative?" I want to inspire the curiosity of the world I have in others.

At first glance, this blog has been primarily written for other patients with persisting symptoms related to Lyme disease infection. But it has also been written to open the floor to anyone for discussion about different causes for persisting symptoms.

This includes skeptics. They are welcome to comment here and share their perspective, as long as they aren't rude and can state their position while providing supporting evidence.

After all - I have a history of being a skeptic myself, and at times don't just want the cheering section behind me saying they support me as a fellow patient. I also want someone to occasionally shake me out of my complacency if I've been stuck in it. I occasionally want someone to present me with a different point of view or new evidence if they have it so I can consider other lines of inquiry in trying to understand my condition.

I have to wonder sometimes if I need a colorful banner or animated message on the top left corner of the homepage which states, "I am a skeptic and a patient with persisting symptoms related to Lyme disease".

Or maybe I need a paragraph at the top of one of my sidebars in order to say more about who I am.

Something like this:
Side note to all scientists and skeptics, in case you missed it: 
This blog is written from the perspective of one person who has been in the unfortunate position of being a skeptic who is suffering from persisting symptoms after receiving an infected tick bite.  
I want answers to questions such as, "What on earth does someone in my position do?" and "What kind of pragmatic approach can I have to dealing with my illness when I am a skeptic and want evidence to support my position and the decisions I make?" and "What research is out there which supports one or another position as to the cause for my condition?"
This has to be done carefully, though, for the sake of my audience.

While I want skeptics to feel welcome here,  I don't want to scare other patients away who are dealing with the same struggles. And I want everyone to feel welcome here and not like they have to constantly defend their illness to others who may not only be skeptical - but who have the potential to engage in less than civil behavior online.

My concern here is not unwarranted. I have read skeptic sites for a number of years, and while I can read sites where issues concerning chronic Lyme disease are debated by infectious disease specialists, researchers, doctors, and patients - such as this BMJ series of Rapid Responses - I practically choke on some of the comments on this chronic Lyme disease post on Respectful Insolence blog, because some of the exchanges are insulting and do little to advance serious discussion about Lyme disease. (Some of them are thoughtful and intelligent, too, though, so I don't avoid reading the thread entirely just because there are insults.)

And I have to remind myself that any blog on the internet has the potential for ill-informed comments, regardless of the original content.

One response on the above linked blog betrays a certain basic ignorance about Lyme disease:
"Yikes, always knew Chronic Lyme disease was complete woo. It's called an anxiety disorder, get your meds. Even acute Lyme disease is looking to be a bit far fetched, now I am far from an expert but it seems a little bit out of a sci fi novel for a tick to harbor some strange virus, who proved this and what experimental data did they have? What were the experiments that prove that some tick borned virus is the cause of a human disease in the first place?"
What the... 

Acute Lyme disease looks far fetched and it must be sci fi that a tick harbors a strange virus?

Far from expert?

Indeed. 


And some comments are thoughtful and the response is respectfully delivered even if the content is something a number of patients would find disagreeable:
"...I don't doubt your story, but given how common tick bites are, it seems likely that an association could be found regardless of whether or not the tick bite actually caused the condition. Thus, anecdotes are not that useful in understanding the disease. Anecdotes don't tell us cause and effect. They show us why we should care, and they are important for that reason, but they do not tell us what is true. It takes a lot of carefully collected data to do that. 
How do you know the antibiotics are really responsible for your improved state of health? Remember, coincidences do happen -- during the summers I take Pulmicort, but is it really making my asthma better, or is the variable course of my asthma just being kind to me right now? I have anecdotes galore, but it's the clinical trial data that convinces me the Pulmicort really is working and it's not just my own desire for it to work making it seem as though it is.

Indeed, one day the truth may come out. But it'll have a hard time coming out when the science of Lyme disease is decided by politicians, and when those most invested in chronic Lyme disease would rather spend their effort treating patients than finding out whether or not they're actually doing the right thing for their patients. Too many of the positive studies I have seen have been enterprises in proving a point rather than testing an hypothesis; science can't be fair or unbiased or *truthful* if it does not entertain equally the possibility of being wrong."

They have a valid point. I can see that.

The problem is, when is this "one day where the truth may come out"?

I have to make decisions about what to do about my health TODAY.

That's the one truth which few of these exchanges seem to address:

How does one make an informed decision as to how to approach and treat one's condition when there is a medical controversy over how to treat it where one of the two options is not to treat it at all - and doing nothing leads to more suffering?

While the author takes the time to explain that anecdotes are not data (with which I agree) and that tick bites in and of themselves are common, there is plenty of medical research and documentation which provides evidence that a subset of infected Lyme disease patients go on to have persisting symptoms after initial treatment. For some of these patients, these symptoms are severe. For a number of them, symptoms persist not for months but for years.

The IDSA and other medical institutions and researchers acknowledge this condition. It's not well understood - but this phenomenon has been documented and is not the creation of a handful of woo charlatans looking to cash in on me.

And I am, for whatever unfortunate reason, the poor bastard who has this condition. And I:
- had a documented tick bite,
- developed an EM rash,
- received a positive blood test later on,
- developed all these symptoms which were clinically diagnosed as Lyme disease.

Unlike the claim made by Ms. Rosa above, no one has tried to con me into this diagnosis. I had a textbook case of Lyme disease. The evidence was there.

If anything, when I first contracted Lyme disease, I thought I was getting it taken care of early enough and would not have to touch the "Lyme controversy" with a twenty foot pole.

Unfortunately, life had other plans for me.

I ended up not being able to work, got sicker than I'd ever been in my life for months on end, then finally got better and off antibiotics and return to work... only to relapse, have to leave my job, and try to figure out what to do next.


Why me? I didn't ask for this. As someone who reads Free Inquiry on occasion, worked as a researcher, lived in a dorm full of physics and chemistry geeks, and thought Carl Sagan was one of the most brilliant and compassionate minds on Earth, I really did ask "Why me?".

But you know, the answer to a pathetic "Why me?" really is "Why not me?". No one asks for this. No one asks to be hit by a car, abused as a child, diagnosed with breast cancer, or to watch a parent die. We are all subject to things which happen beyond our control. It was just the random luck of the draw that someone who happened to be a skeptic would get a condition of which others are skeptical.

Ticks don't care if you like Sagan or vote for Romney. They just want lunch.

For better or worse, here I am. Now, how can I make the best of this? What can I make of this situation now that I'm smack in the middle of it?

I've thought that all I can do is write, research, and encourage others to do research. Learn and encourage others to learn more about tickborne illnesses. Encourage those who are out there who are working in microbiology and biology to engage in education and outreach which helps patients and sidesteps the politics. Educate one doctor at a time that someone with my condition exists, and that a tickborne infection can lead to chronic symptoms. Warn others and tell them to protect themselves when they go hiking and camping so they can avoid my fate.

Mainly what I want to do is get better and get back to living life as I was before - but this time, perhaps a little humbler, a little wiser, and with more compassion for others and more gratitude for myself.

In meantime, I keep hoping I'll meet others here who came from a similar background.

So far, in terms of scientists, I have had a few other Lyme disease patients with science degrees and research positions (or friends and partners of patients with science backgrounds) comment on this blog. Outside of these patients, researchers have commented less often and anonymously.

And I keep hoping someone who is a skeptic and also struggling with chronic Lyme disease or perhaps CFS/ME will come forward and we can review research together and try to make sense of it and figure out what the best course of action is. Even better? I keep hoping to see a microbiologist who researches Borrelia burgdorferi and has had persisting symptoms from Lyme disease take up blogging on their own and publish more insights of which are but a faint glimmer in my own head.

But so far? Crickets.

Surely we can do better than this. Surely one can light more candles against the darkness?

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Sunday, August 21, 2011

0 Video: Baloney Detection Kit

I found this video narrated by Michael Shermer, a skeptic, which discusses a 10 question baloney detection kit which is similar in nature to Carl Sagan's Baloney Detection Kit.

I recommend it for its straight-forward approach and good questions to ask - and though it is made by the Dawkins foundation, its focus is not about religion but on questioning evidence.

Check it out...

[Video time: 14:40]




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Monday, December 13, 2010

0 Carl Sagan's Baloney Detection Kit

So, I mentioned this in my first post here, and think it was important enough that I wanted to repost the contents of this link on Carl Sagan's Baloney Detection Kit.

I recommend that whenever you are reading an editorial piece, listen to an argument between pundits on TV, listen to CSPAN (what? 300 channels and nothing else on?), or are reading a somewhat heated thread on a support group or discussion board that you keep this Kit in mind...


Based on the book "The Demon Haunted World: Science as a candle in the dark" published by Headline 1996.
 
The following are suggested as tools for testing arguments and detecting fallacious or fraudulent arguments:
  • Wherever possible there must be independent confirmation of the facts
  • Encourage substantive debate on the evidence by knowledgeable proponents of all points of view.
  • Arguments from authority carry little weight (in science there are no "authorities").
  • Spin more than one hypothesis - don't simply run with the first idea that caught your fancy.
  • Try not to get overly attached to a hypothesis just because it's yours.
  • Quantify, wherever possible.
  • If there is a chain of argument every link in the chain must work.
  • "Occam's razor" - if there are two hypothesis that explain the data equally well choose the simpler.
  • Ask whether the hypothesis can, at least in principle, be falsified (shown to be false by some unambiguous test). In other words, is it testable? Can others duplicate the experiment and get the same result?

Additional issues are
  • Conduct control experiments - especially "double blind" experiments where the person taking measurements is not aware of the test and control subjects.
  • Check for confounding factors - separate the variables.

Common fallacies of logic and rhetoric
  • Ad hominem - attacking the arguer and not the argument.
  • Argument from "authority".
  • Argument from adverse consequences (putting pressure on the decision maker by pointing out dire consequences of an "unfavourable" decision).
  • Appeal to ignorance (absence of evidence is not evidence of absence).
  • Special pleading (typically referring to god's will).
  • Begging the question (assuming an answer in the way the question is phrased).
  • Observational selection (counting the hits and forgetting the misses).
  • Statistics of small numbers (such as drawing conclusions from inadequate sample sizes).
  • Misunderstanding the nature of statistics (President Eisenhower expressing astonishment and alarm on discovering that fully half of all Americans have below average intelligence!)
  • Inconsistency (e.g. military expenditures based on worst case scenarios but scientific projections on environmental dangers thriftily ignored because they are not "proved").
  • Non sequitur - "it does not follow" - the logic falls down.
  • Post hoc, ergo propter hoc - "it happened after so it was caused by" - confusion of cause and effect.
  • Meaningless question ("what happens when an irresistible force meets an immovable object?).
  • Excluded middle - considering only the two extremes in a range of possibilities (making the "other side" look worse than it really is).
  • Short-term v. long-term - a subset of excluded middle ("why pursue fundamental science when we have so huge a budget deficit?").
  • Slippery slope - a subset of excluded middle - unwarranted extrapolation of the effects (give an inch and they will take a mile).
  • Confusion of correlation and causation.
  • Straw man - caricaturing (or stereotyping) a position to make it easier to attack..
  • Suppressed evidence or half-truths.
  • Weasel words - for example, use of euphemisms for war such as "police action" to get around limitations on Presidential powers. "An important art of politicians is to find new names for institutions which under old names have become odious to the public"
And, that's it! That's your kit!
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